When's the power back?
Here's a straight answer.

What this does that an outage map doesn't

Your utility's map tells you the power is out. It usually won't tell you when it's coming back — and when it does post a time, that time often moves. We estimate restoration independently, from the outage's own recovery trend, and then publish how well we did.

• An independent estimate. We measure how fast customers are actually being restored and project from that, so there can be an estimate even when the official map shows no time. It is unofficial: a time your utility posts is the official one.
• We say when we don't know. If the trend is too weak, the outage is still growing, or it's too small to estimate reliably, the page says so instead of inventing a time. That's a deliberate rule, not a gap — see the methodology.
• We grade ourselves in public. Our county-wide estimates are re-run from each outage's recorded readings and scored against when power actually returned, misses included, on the accuracy page.
• We grade the utilities too. Same yardstick on their posted restoration times — including how often a posted time slips later.
• History for your specific county. How long outages here have actually lasted, drawn from 12 years of federal (DOE/ORNL) records plus our own tracking — not a national average.

Coverage: free county-by-county outage counts from federal data (not every utility reports into it, and it has no data for Alaska, Hawaii, Puerto Rico or the U.S. Virgin Islands), plus more detailed live numbers straight from hundreds of utilities' own outage maps in the US and Canada. How the estimate works · Data sources